Braclays Capital Investment Bank conducted a study that shows foreclosed homes owned by banks, Fannie Mae, Fredie Mac, and other mortgage investors topped a the end of February 2010 at 480,000.
The same study also shows that housing inventory will rise further over the next 20 months and should peak at 536,000 homes in January 2012. It also expects 1.6 million sales of distressed properties in 2010 and 2011. Foreclosures should start declining to 1.5 million in 2010, with about 30 percent of all home sales this year and next year to be foreclosure related. In a normal market only 6 percent of sales are realted to foreclosures.
Assuming unemployment declines to 8 percent within the next two years homeprices should also fall another 3 to 5 percent over the same period of time.
4/29/2010
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